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Red94
756545.0
948434.8
703330.4
Blue102
946025.8
756742.0
1029610.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067405015020094102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
65Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
94Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.2
40.240.0
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
red by 2.9
42.01.8
38.039.9
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
Second
34.80.2
28.228.0
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
red by 8.9
25.81.8
22.324.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Third
7033
#14
30.40.2
28.228.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 20.3
10.13.0
14.317.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed