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Red17
917515.6
1029813.2
Blue58
177210.9
888229.0
945826.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528402040601001201401758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+45
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +39
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points23
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
4Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
17Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9175
#27
15.62.2
18.116.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 13.4
8882
#29
29.01.0
31.630.6
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Second
13.23.6
18.114.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 13.1
9458
#21
26.41.0
29.128.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End1.3
Third
8.23.6
13.19.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
blue by 2.8
1772
#31
10.91.0
11.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed