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Red53
186031.3
1029116.9
745915.4
Blue70
908527.3
946120.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708240601001205370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
22Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points6
53Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.9
31.230.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
red by 4.0
9085
#12
27.30.4
25.725.3
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Second
16.91.5
13.912.4
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7
blue by 4.0
9461
#16
20.90.4
24.924.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Third
7459
#19
15.40.9
15.314.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
red by 7.9
7.50.6
19.218.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed