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Red125
919944.0
1048321.6
756349.6
Blue82
888229.0
920023.4
917515.6
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121705010015020012582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
60Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
2Foul points0
125Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.2
46.848.0
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 20.6
8882
#29
29.01.0
30.631.7
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Second
44.01.2
41.943.1
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
red by 20.6
9200
#18
23.41.0
20.121.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Third
21.61.9
17.018.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
red by 6.0
9175
#27
15.61.0
16.017.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned