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Red119
115658.1
756742.0
945936.4
Blue98
945826.4
756545.0
1026324.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138875010015020025011998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+25Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#15
43Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
67Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
119Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.4
48.448.0
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 13.2
45.00.8
40.040.8
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
Second
42.00.4
39.939.5
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
red by 15.7
9458
#21
26.40.8
28.229.0
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End1.3
Third
36.40.4
36.235.8
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End1.8
red by 12.3
24.11.4
17.518.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned