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Red93
186031.3
827618.0
908527.3
Blue47
960213.3
1029526.4
640411.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746501001502002503003509347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+58Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
13Coral scored#5
45Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
69Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
93Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.1
30.331.4
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
red by 5.0
26.42.5
24.522.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
Second
9085
#12
27.31.1
25.326.3
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End2.2
red by 14.0
9602
#25
13.32.5
23.420.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
8276
#26
18.01.1
13.614.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.7
red by 6.6
6404
#24
11.41.5
12.711.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned