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Red58
916821.7
916923.3
1029116.9
Blue110
919944.0
946120.9
946025.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63106020408012014016058110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+50
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +36
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
42Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#9
4L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
58Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9169
#13
23.30.5
26.025.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
blue by 20.7
44.00.6
43.143.7
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
Second
9168
#15
21.70.9
21.720.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5
blue by 4.2
25.80.6
24.124.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Third
16.90.9
12.411.5
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7
blue by 4.0
9461
#16
20.90.6
24.625.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed