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Red52
921920.6
948434.8
Blue26
1029813.2
745915.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74490204060801001201405226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
6Coral scored#3
20Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
30Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points0
52Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.9
28.027.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
red by 19.4
7459
#19
15.41.4
14.413.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Second
9219
#23
20.60.9
26.025.1
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End0.3
red by 7.4
13.22.4
14.512.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Third
8.21.5
9.58.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
red by 0.7
7.52.4
18.616.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed