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Red58
911022.1
1048321.6
920023.4
Blue61
703330.4
1029610.1
177210.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67620501001502002505861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+11Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
45Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
58Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9200
#18
23.40.7
21.120.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
blue by 7.0
7033
#14
30.40.3
28.027.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
9110
#10
22.10.7
19.218.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
red by 11.1
1772
#31
10.90.3
10.810.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Third
21.61.1
18.917.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
red by 11.5
10.10.6
17.316.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned