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Red91
946120.9
186031.3
756349.6
Blue89
946025.8
827618.0
888229.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12073501001502009189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
71Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
91Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.1
48.046.9
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 20.6
8882
#29
29.01.2
31.732.8
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Second
31.31.1
31.430.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
red by 5.5
25.81.2
24.826.0
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Third
9461
#16
20.91.1
25.224.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 2.9
8276
#26
18.01.2
14.715.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed