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Red73
920023.4
640411.4
916923.3
Blue46
1048321.6
186031.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4379020601001201401607346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+29Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#5
31Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
41Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points2
73Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9200
#18
23.42.9
14.717.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
blue by 7.9
31.32.2
31.629.4
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
Second
9169
#13
23.32.9
18.121.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
red by 1.7
21.66.4
21.615.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Third
6404
#24
11.42.9
10.012.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.7
red by 3.9
7.57.8
7.515.2
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed