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Red63
1029526.4
917515.6
1026324.1
Blue114
948434.8
756545.0
946025.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5190010015063114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
45Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points6
63Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.48.8
26.417.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
blue by 18.6
45.01.9
32.734.6
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
Second
24.16.6
24.117.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 10.6
34.81.9
24.626.5
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
Third
9175
#27
15.60.2
11.911.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 10.2
25.81.9
19.121.0
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned