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Red78
745915.4
919944.0
177210.9
Blue85
908527.3
945936.4
921920.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678102040601001201407885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+3
+1Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points19
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
46Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points8
78Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.7
36.037.7
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
red by 7.6
36.40.6
31.932.4
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Second
7459
#19
15.41.7
14.616.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 11.9
9085
#12
27.30.6
20.220.8
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Third
1772
#31
10.91.7
9.311.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
blue by 9.6
9219
#23
20.60.6
19.119.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed