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Red38
1029116.9
1029813.2
945826.4
Blue54
1048321.6
1029610.1
916821.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845401001502003854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
22Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
38Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9458
#21
26.44.0
34.630.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End1.3
red by 4.7
9168
#15
21.70.4
19.419.0
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Second
16.922.0
35.213.2
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7
blue by 4.7
21.60.4
15.214.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Third
13.24.7
21.516.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
red by 3.1
10.17.3
10.117.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed