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Red74
920023.4
827618.0
Blue121
917515.6
911022.1
115658.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45780206010012014074121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
51Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#9
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
10Foul points6
74Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9200
#18
23.41.2
17.618.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
blue by 34.7
58.13.6
35.739.4
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
Second
8276
#26
18.01.2
9.110.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 4.1
9110
#10
22.13.6
15.419.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Third
7.51.4
15.216.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
blue by 8.1
9175
#27
15.63.6
11.715.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned