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Red106
1026324.1
946025.8
703330.4
Blue69
908527.3
177210.9
916923.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75540204010012014016010669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
28Foul points0
106Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7033
#14
30.41.1
27.128.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 3.1
9085
#12
27.31.4
20.822.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Second
25.81.1
21.022.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
red by 2.6
9169
#13
23.31.4
21.022.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
Third
24.11.4
17.518.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 13.2
1772
#31
10.91.4
11.112.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned