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Red110
115658.1
919944.0
Blue75
745915.4
703330.4
640411.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11648010015020011075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
61Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points2
110Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.3
48.048.3
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 27.7
7033
#14
30.41.4
27.729.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
44.00.3
43.744.0
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
red by 28.6
7459
#19
15.41.4
13.014.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Third
8.20.5
8.08.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
blue by 3.2
6404
#24
11.41.4
11.212.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned