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Red68
177210.9
920023.4
1029116.9
Blue107
756545.0
916923.3
911022.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45109015020068107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +34
6Coral scored#16
23Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
43Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
68Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9200
#18
23.41.0
20.421.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
blue by 21.6
45.00.8
40.841.6
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
Second
16.91.5
13.214.8
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7
blue by 6.4
9169
#13
23.30.8
26.627.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End7.6
Third
1772
#31
10.91.0
10.511.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
blue by 11.1
9110
#10
22.10.8
20.321.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned