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Red64
916821.7
919944.0
Blue105
945936.4
1026324.1
640411.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917405010015064105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+33
Endgame+29
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#18
34Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
48Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#24
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points12
64Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.7
44.042.3
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
red by 7.6
36.41.1
34.335.4
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Second
9168
#15
21.72.6
23.821.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5
blue by 2.5
24.11.7
20.722.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
7.52.6
12.49.8
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
blue by 3.9
6404
#24
11.41.1
12.613.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed