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Red79
920023.4
945826.4
946025.8
Blue61
703330.4
921920.6
960213.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85802040601001201401607961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
55Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points2
79Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9458
#21
26.40.2
29.329.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End1.3
blue by 4.0
7033
#14
30.40.9
29.128.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
25.80.2
26.025.7
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
red by 5.3
9219
#23
20.60.9
25.424.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End0.3
Third
9200
#18
23.40.2
21.421.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
red by 10.1
9602
#25
13.31.4
18.417.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed