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Red126
911022.1
703330.4
756349.6
Blue77
1048321.6
948434.8
960213.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112725010015012677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +38
17Coral scored#7
60Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
82Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#2
6L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
126Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.6
47.348.9
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 14.9
34.80.4
31.632.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
Second
7033
#14
30.41.6
28.229.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 8.8
21.60.6
19.119.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Third
9110
#10
22.11.6
21.122.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
red by 8.7
9602
#25
13.30.6
17.017.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned