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Red62
960213.3
1029116.9
Blue146
1048321.6
115658.1
1029526.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42121010015020062146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+58
Endgame+84
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +34
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
53Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#9
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points0
62Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.5
15.715.2
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7
blue by 41.2
58.11.9
50.752.6
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
Second
9602
#25
13.30.5
17.617.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
blue by 13.0
26.42.5
22.024.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
Third
7.50.5
9.18.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
blue by 14.1
21.62.5
19.722.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned