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Red57
916821.7
827618.0
917515.6
Blue122
186031.3
1029526.4
920023.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629620408012014016057122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+45
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
44Total teleop65
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points20
57Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9168
#15
21.70.0
22.122.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.8
End1.5
blue by 9.7
31.31.5
30.131.6
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
Second
8276
#26
18.00.0
17.217.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 8.4
26.41.9
24.526.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
Third
9175
#27
15.60.0
14.614.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 7.8
9200
#18
23.41.5
21.423.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned