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Red74
946025.8
945936.4
Blue58
1048321.6
921920.6
177210.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7860020401001201401607458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
54Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points6
74Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.3
35.936.3
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End1.8
red by 14.8
21.60.4
22.221.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
25.80.3
25.826.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
red by 5.3
9219
#23
20.60.3
23.222.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End0.3
Third
8.20.4
7.37.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
blue by 2.8
1772
#31
10.90.3
11.611.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed