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Red119
640411.4
756545.0
115658.1
Blue19
1029610.1
960213.3
946120.9
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13153010015020011919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+74Teleop
+98Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
14Coral scored#3
51Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
63Total teleop10
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#4
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
2Foul points0
119Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.5
52.653.1
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 37.2
9461
#16
20.92.4
23.020.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Second
45.00.5
43.443.9
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
red by 31.6
9602
#25
13.33.0
17.114.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
6404
#24
11.40.5
10.411.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.7
red by 1.3
10.13.0
12.19.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed