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Red72
888229.0
908527.3
948434.8
Blue97
945826.4
911022.1
919944.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021007080901101201307297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
72Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.4
32.130.7
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
blue by 9.2
44.00.1
42.642.7
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
Second
8882
#29
29.01.4
32.531.2
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
red by 2.7
9458
#21
26.40.1
27.027.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End1.3
Third
9085
#12
27.31.4
28.126.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End2.2
red by 5.2
9110
#10
22.10.1
22.722.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned