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Red84
827618.0
1026324.1
756742.0
Blue35
745915.4
920023.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1054701508435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+31Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
9Coral scored#3
31Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
43Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
18Foul points0
84Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.3
44.343.0
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
red by 18.6
9200
#18
23.40.8
22.221.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Second
24.11.7
22.721.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 8.8
7459
#19
15.40.8
15.815.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Third
8276
#26
18.01.3
18.617.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End1.7
red by 9.8
8.21.0
8.37.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed