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Red92
756545.0
186031.3
Blue87
911022.1
946025.8
1029526.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958702003004009287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
75Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
92Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.00.4
43.944.3
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
red by 18.6
26.40.7
26.427.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
Second
31.30.4
31.632.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
red by 5.5
25.80.6
26.126.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Third
8.20.5
7.78.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
blue by 13.9
9110
#10
22.10.6
22.423.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned