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Red0
1029526.4
945936.4
186031.3
Blue103
920023.4
888229.0
946025.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112870501001500103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+103
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#10
41Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
49Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +103
-77Foul points18
0Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9459
#6DQ
36.40.4
37.136.7
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End1.8
red by 7.4
8882
#29
29.00.1
29.930.0
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Second
1860
#5DQ
31.30.4
32.031.6
Auto5.4
Teleop22.9
End2.9
red by 5.5
25.80.1
26.826.8
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Third
10295
#17DQ
26.40.4
27.126.6
Auto4.2
Teleop12.7
End9.5
red by 3.0
9200
#18
23.40.1
24.324.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6