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Red107
115658.1
917515.6
756349.6
Blue71
908527.3
946120.9
945826.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140745010020010771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
60Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
107Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.2
55.855.6
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 30.8
9085
#12
27.30.1
26.826.7
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Second
49.60.2
47.347.1
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 23.3
9458
#21
26.40.1
25.825.7
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End1.3
Third
9175
#27
15.60.2
13.313.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 5.3
9461
#16
20.90.1
20.420.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4