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Red64
946120.9
745915.4
1048321.6
Blue36
945826.4
917515.6
960213.3
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696640506080906436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
35Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
64Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End4.3
blue by 4.8
9458
#21
26.41.3
27.125.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.5
End1.3
Second
9461
#16
20.90.2
20.620.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 5.3
9175
#27
15.61.3
14.713.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
7459
#19
15.40.2
15.615.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.3
red by 2.1
9602
#25
13.31.5
14.212.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed