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Red162
1026324.1
948434.8
115658.1
Blue114
920023.4
756349.6
1029813.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1268550100150200162114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +16
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
99Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#6
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
162Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.12.7
53.155.8
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 8.5
49.61.4
46.047.3
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
Second
34.82.7
31.434.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
red by 11.4
9200
#18
23.41.4
23.024.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Third
24.13.0
21.624.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.0
red by 10.9
13.21.5
11.713.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned