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Red108
919944.0
703330.4
1029116.9
Blue57
756742.0
177210.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036305015010857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+29Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +36
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
66Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
108Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.01.2
43.444.6
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
red by 1.9
42.00.3
43.042.7
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
Second
7033
#14
30.41.2
30.131.3
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 19.4
1772
#31
10.90.3
11.310.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Third
16.91.4
16.217.5
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7
red by 9.4
7.50.4
7.87.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed