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Red146
115658.1
917515.6
756349.6
Blue95
920023.4
888229.0
946025.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134825010015020014695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
104Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
146Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.7
55.656.3
Auto16.3
Teleop33.5
End8.3
red by 29.1
8882
#29
29.00.3
30.030.3
Auto3.9
Teleop22.7
End2.4
Second
49.60.7
47.147.8
Auto9.7
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 23.8
25.80.3
26.827.1
Auto5.6
Teleop18.3
End1.9
Third
9175
#27
15.60.7
13.113.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 7.8
9200
#18
23.40.3
24.424.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End5.6