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Red104
919944.0
756742.0
1029116.9
Blue101
756545.0
948434.8
960213.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11497406080140160104101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
74Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
104Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.0
44.844.7
Auto12.5
Teleop25.1
End6.4
blue by 1.0
45.00.2
44.644.8
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End8.3
Second
42.00.0
42.842.8
Auto12.8
Teleop27.2
End2.0
red by 7.3
34.80.2
34.434.6
Auto7.5
Teleop22.5
End4.7
Third
16.90.0
17.717.7
Auto2.0
Teleop12.3
End2.7
red by 3.6
9602
#25
13.30.2
13.013.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End0.8