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Red30
462720.3
99995.0
999112.2
Blue42
1038422.7
99948.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2359040801001201401603042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +8
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
14Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points6
30Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#12
20.31.1
22.921.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 2.5
22.70.3
19.519.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
12.21.9
6.74.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
red by 3.6
8.50.5
4.23.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
9999
#11
5.01.9
3.51.6
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 2.6
7.50.3
8.27.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed