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Red42
99995.0
99948.5
997721.5
Blue31
9998-1.6
486215.1
442159.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181020501502004231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points10
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
14Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points0
42Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.5
11.713.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
blue by 37.9
59.43.1
56.853.7
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
8.51.5
2.74.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 6.6
15.13.1
16.012.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Third
9999
#11
5.01.5
2.03.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
red by 6.6
9998
#14
-1.65.2
5.20.0
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed