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Red13
997721.5
9998-1.6
Blue48
486215.1
927726.7
462720.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24660501001501348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop20
Reef
0L4#3
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
13Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.7
13.312.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
blue by 5.3
26.71.0
20.319.3
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
Second
7.50.4
7.97.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 12.7
4627
#12
20.31.0
21.820.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
9998
#14
-1.60.7
-1.7-2.4
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 16.8
15.11.0
11.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned