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Red29
94497.4
99995.0
99948.5
Blue48
997315.9
999112.2
1038422.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233604060802948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
24Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
2Cage & park10
2Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
29Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.50.5
3.74.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 14.2
22.70.8
19.119.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
7.40.3
7.98.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 8.5
15.91.3
1.32.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
Third
9999
#11
5.00.5
1.62.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 7.2
12.21.3
4.86.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed