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Red69
997315.9
1038422.7
997721.5
Blue33
99995.0
927726.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551202040801001201406933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+24Teleop
+42Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#2
36Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
40Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#4
BargeRed +18
20Cage & park2
20Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points6
69Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.6
18.420.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
blue by 4.0
26.70.1
17.517.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
Second
21.51.8
19.321.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
red by 13.9
7.50.1
5.35.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Third
15.91.8
7.79.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
red by 11.0
9999
#11
5.00.1
2.52.6
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed