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Red10
999112.2
61888.1
9998-1.6
Blue40
997315.9
462720.3
99948.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12490204060801001201401601040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +13
1Coral scored#3
2Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
2Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
10Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.20.2
8.17.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
blue by 8.1
4627
#12
20.30.4
18.318.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Second
6188
#13
8.10.2
8.28.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 7.9
15.90.5
7.27.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
Third
9998
#14
-1.60.2
-3.9-4.1
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 10.2
8.50.5
2.32.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed