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Red57
94497.4
997721.5
486215.1
Blue30
1038422.7
9998-1.6
99948.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847303540455055605730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
7Coral scored#3
26Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
42Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#0
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
57Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.2
18.119.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
blue by 1.3
22.70.4
18.118.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
15.11.0
11.112.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
red by 6.6
8.50.4
1.92.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
7.41.0
5.66.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
red by 9.0
9998
#14
-1.60.4
-4.3-3.9
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed