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Red34
997721.5
462720.3
99995.0
Blue25
99948.5
94497.4
927726.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539301502002503425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +19
4Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
19Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
1L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#0
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points20
34Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.6
11.19.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
blue by 5.3
26.73.4
29.426.1
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
Second
4627
#12
20.31.1
28.527.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 11.7
8.55.6
11.15.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
9999
#11
5.01.6
6.85.2
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 2.4
7.43.4
14.811.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned