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Red127
442159.4
61888.1
997721.5
Blue74
1038422.7
486215.1
999112.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9645015020012774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
79Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
18Foul points12
127Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.41.9
54.356.2
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 36.7
22.70.1
18.418.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
21.53.1
9.512.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
red by 6.3
15.10.1
17.817.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Third
6188
#13
8.12.1
8.110.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 4.1
12.20.1
9.59.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsEarned