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Red22
9998-1.6
997315.9
99995.0
Blue83
99948.5
442159.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6113501001502002283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+45
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +29
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
0Total teleop29
Reef
0L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
2Foul points18
22Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.2
8.58.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
blue by 43.5
59.40.6
56.255.5
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
9999
#11
5.00.2
5.24.9
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 3.6
8.51.0
5.54.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
9998
#14
-1.60.2
8.58.3
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 9.2
7.50.8
12.611.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned