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Red46
462720.3
99948.5
61888.1
Blue106
927726.7
997721.5
1038422.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44740206010012014016046106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+48
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#15
23Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
31Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
6Cage & park18
6Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
46Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#12
20.30.6
18.218.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 6.5
26.72.2
17.619.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
Second
8.50.6
2.83.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 14.2
22.72.2
20.022.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Third
6188
#13
8.10.6
7.48.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 13.4
21.52.2
21.023.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned