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Red61
997315.9
462720.3
9998-1.6
Blue70
997721.5
99995.0
999112.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25280204060806170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
4Coral scored#7
13Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
23Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
12Foul points24
61Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#12
20.31.8
18.820.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 1.2
21.50.8
23.224.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Second
15.91.8
9.411.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
red by 3.8
12.20.8
7.38.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
9998
#14
-1.61.8
-5.5-3.7
Auto0.1
Teleop-2.6
End0.8
blue by 6.6
9999
#11
5.00.8
3.64.4
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed