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Red71
486215.1
99948.5
997315.9
Blue45
61888.1
1038422.7
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403902060801001207145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+20Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
54Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +6
2Cage & park8
2Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points0
71Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.9
11.213.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End6.3
blue by 6.8
22.70.2
22.221.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
15.11.9
12.414.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
red by 7.1
6188
#13
8.10.2
8.07.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Third
8.51.9
3.45.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
red by 1.0
7.50.2
6.46.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed