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Red97
99948.5
1038422.7
486215.1
Blue143
442159.4
999112.2
927726.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57104015020097143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+46
Endgame+64
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +28
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
62Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +18
8Cage & park26
8Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
18Foul points0
97Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.3
21.923.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
blue by 36.7
59.42.7
54.256.9
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
15.11.3
14.315.7
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
blue by 11.6
26.72.7
21.524.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
Third
8.51.3
5.36.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 3.6
12.22.7
9.812.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned