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Red52
1038422.7
99995.0
486215.1
Blue45
999112.2
997721.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445001001502002503003505245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+1
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
4Coral scored#6
14Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
18Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#10
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +7
14Foul points6
52Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.3
23.322.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
red by 1.3
21.50.2
21.821.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Second
15.10.3
15.715.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
red by 3.0
12.20.2
12.512.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
9999
#11
5.00.3
5.35.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End1.4
blue by 2.6
7.50.2
7.97.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.1